The Sticky Starter

How first impressions calcify in consensus cultures

Imagine a team evaluating a new idea, candidate, or proposal. The first person to speak sets an anchor. In consensus-driven cultures, subsequent opinions cluster around that anchor—even when people have independent information.

Drag the first rater's score below and watch what happens to everyone else.


Consensus Independent

Team Rating: "New Feature Proposal"

Distribution of Ratings

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Consensus Mode
7.2 mean
σ = 0.8
Independent Mode
5.8 mean
σ = 2.1


Why this happens

Anchoring bias: The first number we hear disproportionately influences our judgment, even when we know it's arbitrary.

Social proof: In group settings, we look to others' opinions as evidence of the "correct" view. Early opinions carry extra weight.

Conformity pressure: Deviating significantly from the group feels risky. We self-censor extreme opinions to avoid seeming "difficult."


How to break the pattern

🔒

Blind voting first

Collect ratings before anyone speaks. Reveal simultaneously.

🎲

Randomize speaking order

Don't let seniority or confidence determine who anchors.

😈

Assign a devil's advocate

Someone whose job is to argue the opposite, breaking consensus pressure.

✍️

Written input before discussion

Have everyone write their view before the meeting starts.